Fundamental Analysis: Clariant Chemicals Ltd

Clariant Chemicals is one of India's leading speciality chemicals companies. It has a large market share in pigments, textile chemicals and leather chemicals (and some agro intermediates whose business it is getting rid of)! It is an Indian subsidiary of Swiss firm Clariant. Clariant was formed formally in 1995 by a demerger of Sandoz Chemicals Division. It has its roots in Sandoz and Hoechst. The Indian division is one of the most significant ones in Clariant's global operations.

Current Market Price and P/E
Clariant Chemicals Ltd currently trades at Rs. 400-420 levels. It has shown some increases in the past few weeks. The stock went up from around Rs 350 to Rs 400, without much resistance. At Rs. 409, the P/E ratio of Clariant Chemicals Ltd stands at 11.64. This is largely because of good performance in the previous quarters. In the last two quarters, it has posted some very good margins. As is visible from the graph below, Clariant has been having quite a rally in the stock markets since January 09.

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Financial Results
Clariant posted strong bottom line numbers in Q1 and Q2 of this year. However, the top line growth was not impressive. In Q1, YoY, the sales were down 5% and in Q2, they were down around 3%. However, margins grew as PBDT in both quarters were higher by 27% and 23% respectively. EPS has risen steadily, in sync with increased bottom line figures. The company has practically no debt on its books, and this is a significant plus.

Historic Price
Year Open Price High Price Low Price Close Price No. of
Shares
No. of
Trades
Total Turnover(Rs.) * Spread (Rs.)
H - L C - O
2003 240.50 293.35 185.55 261.50 1424464 31058 325,440,451.00 107.80 21.00
2004 261.30 322.35 221.00 279.95 844383 17171 221,661,331.00 101.35 18.65
2005 280.00 346.00 237.50 331.40 1422995 14439 412,893,546.00 108.50 51.40
2006 333.75 395.00 226.60 337.15 4307452 17454 1,341,161,357.00 168.40 3.40
2007 340.00 364.00 255.00 328.95 2298639 41235 703,738,692.00 109.00 -11.05
2008 336.00 348.90 145.25 154.05 1666927 19480 383,065,218.00 203.65 -181.95
2009 156.65 422.95 144.30 409.60 3715252 52827 854,079,227.00 278.65 252.95

Sector Outlook
The Speciality Chemicals segment is an emerging sector in the growing Indian chemicals industry. This industry is dependent upon other industries such as paper, textiles, leather, detergents, plastics, etc. This segment did take a beating in the downturn, but the effect was lesser than the other sectors. The good thing about this industry, is that the industry is one which we cannot do without. Dyes, pigments and such chemicals are required - downturn or not. Margins may take a beating in a crisis, but then they recover very well later on because prices of raw materials go down as well.

Shareholding Pattern
Promoters hold 63.4% shares. Key public shareholders are mutual funds (UTI) holding around 3.18% and a brokerage house that holds 1.68% as on Sep '09. The stock has seen some good buying since the start of this year. Delivery ratios have been on the higher side.

Dividends
The stock pays good dividends. It paid Rs. 19 per share last year, and has already paid Rs. 10 this year as interim dividend.

Buy or Sell?
Fundamentally, this is one of the strongest companies listed on the Stock Exchanges. It has a wide product portfolio, and is having margins, for the moment at least. For a stock that's moving up so quickly, it would be advisable to wait and buy on dips. If you'll be buying, and it won't be for the short term, it would be rather be a really longer term- such as about two years. We recommend to buy in general at this point- if you don't need that money for some yearse, cautiously though, having the global events in the back of the mind, and fingers crossed at the Dubai's or for that matter, Abu Dhabi's next move.

European stock markets defy global selloff

May be it happened on Thursday, so it didn't have to happen on Friday. Whatever the reason may be, European shares posted solid gains on Friday. All major indices were up 1-1.25% at closing bell. Asian markets took a double beating- both on Thursday and on Friday, and only the Indian stocks recovered fairly- still to close in the red, on Friday. While Europe posted gains, the American Dow and NASDAQ were down 1.48% and 1.72% respectively, after a holiday on Thursday. It had to happen!

Meanwhile, the dollar and the yen rose against rival currencies as expected because of this global selloff.

The Dubai World news brought back memories of the credit crunch- and no one was willing to take any risks.

Leaders of India Inc said there was nothing much to worry as they had not much exposure. However, there were concerns that further investment into India, and remittances from the Emirates to India would decline.

The RBI governor had asked major banks to provide details of their exposure to loans in Dubai. According to the banks, the Dubai loan portfolio is not very significant. However, realtors could get affected if the crisis persists- which would increase the NPAs of these banks. Amongst the banks, Bank of Baroda, SBI, ICICI have the highest exposure- which they claim is not significant.

Just when things were looking alright, we have to cross our fingers once again. Will this be a premature end to the bull run? As the Zen master said, "We'll see!"

ABG Shipyard finalizes schedule for Great Offshore open offer

ABG Shipyard, who is in a takeover battle with Bharati Shipyard, for Great Offshore has announced its open offer schedule. It's offer stands at Rs. 520 a share, which is expected to be revised soon.

Date of opening of the offer: December 03, 2009
Date of closing of the offer: December 22, 2009

The offer is to acquire 1,25,71,072 shares of Great Offshore. ABG Shipyard already holds around 8.74% in Great Offshore.

Its rival Bharati Shipyard holds around 24% in Great Offshore. Bharati Shipyard is offering a higher price of Rs. 560 per share at the moment.

ABG Shipyard's stock was down 2.78% in a negative market.

Gujarat NRE Coke allots convertible warrants

2.5 cr were allotted to the promoters at a convertible price of Rs. 65.78 per share.

The stock trades at a weighted average price of Rs. 66.3, while it closed at Rs. 67.45.

Gujarat NRE Coke's Q2 results were less than impressive, with net profit going down close to 80%, and total income going down 24%.

The total share capital of Gujarat NRE Coke is of Rs. 47.6 cr, So equity dilution of 5% will occur.

Promoters currently hold 45% in Gujarat NRE Coke. 72% of their holding, equivalent to 32% of the total shares at current equity base, is pledged.

FIIs net sell shares worth 1057 cr in equity markets today

FIIs net sold equity worth 1057 cr while DIIs bought shares worth (net) 700 cr in a volatile market.


FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE)(Rs. crore)

FII DII
Trade Date Buy Sales Net Buy Sales Net
27/11/09 1,449.17 2,506.35 -1,057.18 2,394.92 1,696.25 698.67
26/11/09 2,857.74 2,927.94 -70.20 1,929.59 1,779.04 150.55
25/11/09 2,041.10 2,372.75 -331.65 1,296.35 1,154.66 141.69
Nov, 09 45,960.14 44,708.18 1,251.96 26,960.65 25,039.30 1,921.35
Since 1/1/09 * 534,894.32 515,459.19 19,435.13 281,500.86 255,795.91 25,704.95

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